Politics

Situation Report 27 – April 2022 : Diplomat Magazine


On the grand strategic level the Kremlin has threatened to strike British military targets in retaliation for the UK’s support of Ukraine. Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova suggested that Moscow could target territory of Nato countries which have been supplying arms to Kyiv. 

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on April 27th that Russia has all “instruments” for “immediate strikes” on the countries that would decide to intervene in the war.

 

Russia’s Gazprom has suspended gas deliveries to Poland and Bulgaria, citing the two countries’ refusal to pay in Russian roubles.

 

The German is prepared to back a gradual ban on Russian oil as EU countries scramble to respond to Moscow’s decision to cut off gas supplies to member states Poland and Bulgaria.

 

Canadian Parliamentarians voted unanimously on April 27th to call Russia’s attacks in Ukraine a “genocide”, adding that there was “ample evidence of systemic and massive war crimes against humanity.”

 

In the theatre, Ukraine retains control over the majority of its airspace and Russia has failed to effectively destroy Ukraine’s Air Force or suppress its air defenses. 

 

Russia has lost 10 percent of its Su-34 Strike Aircraft.

 

Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Anna Malyar has said Russia has fired 1300 missiles at Ukraine since the war began, which Ukraine believes is half of Russia’s overall arsenal.

 

On the ground, the war in Ukraine has reportedly weakened Russia’s military capability with “pretty substantial” casualties among troops and the loss of equipment. 

 

Russian and Belarusian forces continue “demonstrative actions” to fix Ukrainian forces around Kyiv in place.

 

Kharkiv remains isolated and heavily damaged by Russian forces.

 

Russia is also continuing to build up troops in the northeast, intended to partially blockade the heavily hit city of Kharkiv. 

 

Russian forces continued to press their offensive in the Kharkiv and Donetsk regions and captured several settlements. There was significant shelling reported again today and tonight in Kharkiv, south of Izyum, across much of the Donbas and southeast, in Mariupol, around Kherson, on and around Sumy and near Mykolaiv. Shelling was significantly more widespread today.

 

Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported on April 27th that Russian forces are conducting large-scale “filtration measures” in Kharkiv, Zaporizhia, Kherson, Mykolaiv, Luhansk, and Donetsk Oblasts. The “filtration” targets men of military age, former military and law enforcement personnel, and pro-Ukrainian activists for interrogation, torture, and possible execution.

 

A series of blasts were heard in the early hours of Wednesday after a Russian ammunition depot in Belgorod oblast caught fire after a likely Ukrainian air or drone strike.

 

Russian forces are attempting to bypass Ukrainian forces on the road to Barvinkove by advancing directly west before pivoting southwards in the coming days.

 

Heavy fighting has been reported near Chornobayivka.

 

Russian forces are focusing particularly on the Kramatorsk and Sloviansk towns in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region, and on Kryvyi Rih in the southern Kherson region.

 

Two Russian air-launched guided missiles hit the city of Zaporizhzhia in central Ukraine Tuesday. 

 

Russian forces carried out air raids on Ukrainian positions in the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol where more than 1,000 civilians are also sheltering. 

 

The city of Kherson has fallen to Russian control.

 

Russian forces tried to advance toward the city of 

 

Russian forces are focusing particularly on the Kramatorsk and Sloviansk towns in Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region, and on Kryvyi Rih in the southern Kherson region.

 

Two Russian air-launched guided missiles hit the city of Zaporizhzhia in central Ukraine Tuesday. 

 

Russian forces carried out air raids on Ukrainian positions in the Azovstal steel plant in Mariupol where more than 1,000 civilians are also sheltering. 

 

The city of Kherson has fallen to Russian control.

 

Ukrainian protesters in the Russian-occupied city of Kherson were dispersed by tear gas. 

 

Russian forces tried to advance toward the city of Mykolaiv with increased shelling and artillery but two attacks failed. 

 

Russian missiles hit the bridge and railway across the Dniester estuary west of Odesa for the second consecutive day. The bridge provides access to Transnistria via a navigable inlet from the Black Sea.

 

The Zatoka Bridge, which connects the Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi Region near the Ukrainian-Romanian Border and the Odessa Region, which was damaged when it was hit by a Russian Missile yesterday has reportedly just been hit by another Russian Missile and completely destroyed.

 

The UK has reportedly urged the West to supply warplanes to Ukraine. 

 

Ukrainian Operational Command South reported on April 26th that its forces struck at Russian positions on Snake Island, hitting the command post and destroying a Strela-10 anti-aircraft missile system.

 

Ukraine accused Russia of trying to drag Moldova’s breakaway region of Transnistria into the war after authorities in the Russia-backed region, adjacent to southwest Ukraine, said they had been targeted by a series of attacks.

 

Moldova’s Deputy Interior Minister said the grenades that were used in the mysterious explosions in Transnistria are produced by Russia and are only used by the armies of Russia, Transnistria and Gabon. 

 

The Pentagon has set up control center in Germany for military aid to Ukraine.

 

Canadian Defense Minister Anita Anand wrote on Twitter that Canada has finalized a contract for eight armored vehicles manufactured by Roshel for Ukraine. 

 

Germany may not be able to deliver on its  effort to bolster Ukraine’s defense with 50 anti-aircraft tanks as there is only enough ammunition for about 20 minutes of intense action. Germany is in talks with Brazil, Qatar and Jordan to fill the gap, but could also run into issues with transfer approvals from the Swiss government.

 

Australia will provide six M777 155mm lightweight towed howitzers and ammunition to further support Ukraine’s defence. Canada provided four. 

 

Norway to allocate $44 million to buy weapons for Ukraine. 

 

Russia has exchanged former US Marine Trevor Reed for a Russian held in the US after being convicted of conspiracy to smuggle cocaine, in a rare example of cooperation between the two countries amid the confrontation over Moscow’s war in Ukraine.

 

 

 

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