Situation Report 11 – May 2022 : Diplomat Magazine

On the ground, Russian and Belarusian forces continue “demonstrative actions” to fix Ukrainian forces around Kyiv in place


Ukrainian military has expanded on the success of its counteroffensive around northeastern Kharkiv. 


Russia has at least 19 Battalion Tactic Groups (BTGs) in the Belgorod area that may be used to counterattack toward Kharkiv. 


Russia’s offensive along the Siverskyi Donets Line has generally stalled, with limited successes in Popasna.


Russian forces have managed to seize control of Popasna, Nyzhnie, and Velyka Kormyshuvakha.


Russian forces may shift their efforts from the Izium Axis to the Lyman-Yampil axis and may be looking to isolate Slovyansk and Severdonetsk in two pockets. 


Russian forces may be initiating a new advance towards Bakhmut after capturing Popasna in order to secure highway access north to Slovyansk.


There has been little activity in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast with Russian forces employing artillery and air strikes in support of limited assaults on Orikhiv, Huilaipole, and Velyka Novosilka.


The Russian Army has resumed storming of Azovstal plant in Mariupol, despite a ceasefire declared earlier.


Russian units in Zaporizhia Oblast are regrouping and will likely receive reinforcements from forces previously deployed in Mariupol.


It was reported that Russia brought additional artillery units to the north of the occupied Crimea and can use them to attack Kherson Oblast. 


Russia aims to occupy the whole Kherson Oblast and create favorable conditions to attack the cities of Mykolaiv and Kryvyi Rih.


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